Arizona St
W-L: ( 4- 4) PR = 83.2565Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 905 H Morgan State 70- 7 912 A Texas A&M ( 4- 4, 88.8) 20- 48 919 N Kansas ( 2- 6, 77.6) 24- 17 1003 H Baylor ( 5- 3, 90.4) 19- 55 1010 H Hawai'i ( 2- 6, 73.4) 30- 12 1017 A Texas Tech ( 7- 1, 94.5) 25- 53 1024 H Kansas St ( 4- 4, 83.4) 28- 17 1031 A BYU ( 7- 1, 94.8) 20- 27 1107 H Colorado ( 3- 5, 81.9) 1114 A UCF ( 4- 4, 87.5) 1121 H Oklahoma St ( 5- 3, 92.1) 1128 A Arizona ( 6- 2, 92.9)
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
912 A Texas A&M 20-48 -28 -9 --- -6.25
919 N Kansas 24-17 7 6 1.37
1003 H Baylor 19-55 -36 -4 --- -11.07
1010 H Hawai'i 30-12 18 13 1.93
1017 A Texas Tech 25-53 -28 -14 -0.60
1024 H Kansas St 28-17 11 3 +++ 8.00
1031 A BYU 20-27 -7 -15 +++ 7.75
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 912 A Texas A&M 20-48 -28 -9 --- -6.25 1003 H Baylor 19-55 -36 -4 --- -11.07 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1024 H Kansas St 28-17 11 3 +++ 8.00 1031 A BYU 20-27 -7 -15 +++ 7.75 |
Arizona St Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston Col | Arizona St | Arizona St | ||
| California | Arizona St | Arizona St | ||
| Clemson | Clemson | Clemson | ||
| Duke | Duke | Duke | ||
| Florida St | Florida St | Florida St | ||
| Georgia Tech | Arizona St | Arizona St | ||
| Louisville | Louisville | Louisville | ||
| Miami | Miami | Miami | ||
| No. Carolina | No. Carolina | No. Carolina | ||
| NC State | Arizona St | Arizona St | ||
| Pittsburgh | Pittsburgh | Pittsburgh | ||
| SMU | SMU | SMU | ||
| Stanford | Arizona St | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Arizona St | |
| Syracuse | Arizona St | Arizona St | ||
| Virginia | Arizona St | Arizona St | ||
| Va. Tech | Va. Tech | Va. Tech | ||
| Wake Forest | Wake Forest | Wake Forest | ||
| Army | Army | Army | ||
| Charlotte | Arizona St | Arizona St | ||
| Ea. Carolina | Arizona St | Arizona St | ||
| Fl. Atlantic | Arizona St | Arizona St | ||
| Memphis | Memphis | Memphis | ||
| Navy | Arizona St | Arizona St | ||
| No. Texas | No. Texas | No. Texas | ||
| Rice | Arizona St | Arizona St | ||
| So. Florida | So. Florida | So. Florida | ||
| Temple | Arizona St | Arizona St | ||
| Tulane | Arizona St | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Arizona St | |
| Tulsa | Arizona St | Arizona St | ||
| UAB | Arizona St | Arizona St | ||
| UTSA | UTSA | UTSA | ||
| Arizona | Arizona | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Arizona | |
| BYU | BYU | BYU | ||
| Baylor | Baylor | Baylor | ||
| Cincinnati | Cincinnati | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Cincinnati | |
| Colorado | Arizona St | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) | Arizona St | |
| Houston | Houston | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Houston | |
| Iowa State | Iowa State | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Iowa State | |
| Kansas | Arizona St | Arizona St | ||
| Kansas St | Arizona St | Arizona St | ||
| Oklahoma St | Oklahoma St | Oklahoma St | ||
| TCU | TCU | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) | TCU | |
| Texas Tech | Texas Tech | Texas Tech | ||
| UCF | UCF | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | UCF | |
| Utah | Utah | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Utah | |
| We. Virginia | We. Virginia | We. Virginia | ||
| Illinois | Illinois | Illinois | ||
| Indiana | Indiana | Indiana | ||
| Iowa | Iowa | Iowa | ||
| Maryland | Arizona St | Arizona St | ||
| Michigan | Michigan | Michigan | ||
| Michigan St | Michigan St | Michigan St | ||
| Minnesota | Minnesota | Minnesota | ||
| Nebraska | Nebraska | Nebraska | ||
| Northwestern | Northwestern | Northwestern | ||
| Ohio State | Ohio State | Ohio State | ||
| Oregon | Oregon | Oregon | ||
| Penn State | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Purdue | Purdue | Purdue | ||
| Rutgers | Arizona St | Arizona St | ||
| UCLA | UCLA | UCLA | ||
| USC | USC | USC | ||
| Washington | Washington | Washington | ||
| Wisconsin | Wisconsin | Wisconsin | ||
| Florida Int | Arizona St | Arizona St | ||
| J'ville St | J'ville St | J'ville St | ||
| Kennesaw St | Arizona St | Arizona St | ||
| Liberty | Liberty | Liberty | ||
| La. Tech | La. Tech | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | La. Tech | |
| Mid. Tenn. | Arizona St | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Arizona St | |
| N. Mexico St | Arizona St | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Arizona St | |
| Sam Houston | Arizona St | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Arizona St | |
| UTEP | Arizona St | Arizona St | ||
| We. Kentucky | Arizona St | Arizona St | ||
| Mass. | Arizona St | Arizona St | ||
| Notre Dame | Notre Dame | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Notre Dame | |
| UConn | Arizona St | Arizona St | ||
| Akron | Arizona St | Arizona St | ||
| Ball State | Arizona St | Arizona St | ||
| Bowl'g Green | Arizona St | Arizona St | ||
| Buffalo | Arizona St | Arizona St | ||
| Ce. Michigan | Arizona St | Arizona St | ||
| Ea. Michigan | Arizona St | Arizona St | ||
| Kent St | Arizona St | Arizona St | ||
| Miami (OH) | Arizona St | Arizona St | ||
| No. Illinois | Arizona St | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Arizona St | |
| Ohio | Arizona St | Arizona St | ||
| Toledo | Toledo | Toledo | ||
| We. Michigan | We. Michigan | We. Michigan | ||
| Air Force | Air Force | Air Force | ||
| Boise St | Boise St | Boise St | ||
| Colorado St | Arizona St | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Arizona St | |
| Fresno St | Fresno St | Fresno St | ||
| Hawai'i | Arizona St | Arizona St | ||
| Nevada | Nevada | Nevada | ||
| New Mexico | New Mexico | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | New Mexico | |
| San Diego St | Arizona St | Arizona St | ||
| San Jose St | Arizona St | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Arizona St | |
| UNLV | Arizona St | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Arizona St | |
| Utah St | Utah St | Utah St | ||
| Wyoming | Arizona St | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Arizona St | |
| Oregon St | Oregon St | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Oregon St | |
| Wash. St | Arizona St | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Arizona St | |
| Alabama | Alabama | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Alabama | |
| Arkansas | Arkansas | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Arkansas | |
| Auburn | Auburn | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Auburn | |
| Florida | Florida | Florida | ||
| Georgia | Georgia | Georgia | ||
| Kentucky | Kentucky | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Kentucky | |
| LSU | LSU | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | LSU | |
| Missouri | Missouri | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Missouri | |
| Miss. St | Miss. St | Miss. St | ||
| Oklahoma | Oklahoma | Oklahoma | ||
| Ole Miss | Ole Miss | Ole Miss | ||
| So. Carolina | So. Carolina | So. Carolina | ||
| Tennessee | Tennessee | Tennessee | ||
| Texas | Texas | Texas | ||
| Texas A&M | Texas A&M | Texas A&M | ||
| Vanderbilt | Arizona St | Arizona St | ||
| App State | Arizona St | Arizona St | ||
| Arkansas St | Arizona St | Arizona St | ||
| Coastal Car. | Arizona St | Arizona St | ||
| Georgia So. | Georgia So. | Georgia So. | ||
| Georgia St | Arizona St | Arizona St | ||
| J. Madison | J. Madison | J. Madison | ||
| Louisiana | Louisiana | Louisiana | ||
| Marshall | Arizona St | Arizona St | ||
| Old Dominion | Arizona St | Arizona St | ||
| So. Miss | Arizona St | Arizona St | ||
| So. Alabama | Arizona St | Arizona St | ||
| Texas St. | Texas St. | Texas St. | ||
| Troy | Arizona St | Arizona St | ||
| UL Monroe | Arizona St | Arizona St | ||
| Delaware | Arizona St | Arizona St | ||
| Missouri St | Arizona St | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Arizona St |
PowerWise = 60
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 8.15
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
1 A Texas A&M ( 4- 4, 88.8) 20-48 -11.09 22.15 3.20 1.16 -4.59
1 N Kansas ( 2- 6, 77.6) 24-17 -22.27 10.97 -0.00 1.16 25.54
1 H Baylor ( 5- 3, 90.4) 19-55 -9.51 23.73 -3.20 1.16 -7.40
1 H Hawai'i ( 2- 6, 73.4) 30-12 -26.52 6.72 -3.20 1.16 8.20
1 A Texas Tech ( 7- 1, 94.5) 25-53 -5.44 27.80 3.20 1.16 -1.31
1 H Kansas St ( 4- 4, 83.4) 28-17 -16.45 16.79 -3.20 1.16 31.64
1 A BYU ( 7- 1, 94.8) 20-27 -5.09 28.15 3.20 1.16 -1.10
------
50.98
|
winning pts = 65.3805 losing points = -14.3998
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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